2019 Oscars Predictions

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You can hear some of my Oscar predictions at my latest podcast, Real Movie News and Reviews, find me on this link or on iTunes, please subscribe, rate, and review!!!

https://www.certainpov.com/real-movie-news-and-reviews/2019/2/20/alita-battle-angel

It is Oscar time again (yays or boos). So once again we enjoy the best of film, rant about snubs or robberies, and of course my predictions and seeing if I will finally be right in who wins Best Picture. This year with the nominations we have some things to celebrate about. Like Black Panther being the first comic book film to be nominated for Best Picture, Netflix films getting their due, and the year of foreign films being nominated and having high chances of winning. So yes, it is an exciting time, and now it is time for my predictions of this years nominees.

Best Visual Effects:

“Avengers: Infinity War”
“Christopher Robin”
“First Man”
“Ready Player One”
“Solo: A Star Wars Story”

Prediction: This boils down to two films, Ready Player One and Avengers: Infinity War. Both are very deserving. With that said, my prediction will be biased being a huge Marvel fan, but I believe Avengers: Infinity War is going to take it, and finally an Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) film will win an Oscar.

Accuracy Meter: 75%

Best Costume Design:

“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Mary Zophres
“Black Panther,” Ruth E. Carter
“The Favourite,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Queen of Scots,” Alexandra Byrne

Prediction: This is a tough category cuz they are all deserving of winning it. Though my gut feeling in the way the Oscars pick their winners, I have to go with The Favourite with their authenticity and hard work making their costumes. I could be wrong, but it is a hunch.

Accuracy Meter: 60%

Best Makeup and Hair:

“Border”
“Mary Queen of Scots”
“Vice”

Prediction: This one is pretty easy though I haven’t seen Border. Vice actually made the actors actually look like the people they are portraying. Sometimes I felt that it is not Christian Bale and that it is actually Dick Chaney, and same with the other characters. Great makeup job.

Accuracy Meter: 95%

Best Original Song:

“All The Stars” from “Black Panther” by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
“I’ll Fight” from “RBG” by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns” by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
“Shallow” from “A Star Is Born” by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch

Prediction: Some good songs here, but one really stands out among the rest. That is Shallow from A Star is Born. Lady Gaga does a tremendous job singing her heart out in her role. This song is catchy since the trailers, and I do enjoy it a lot.

Accuracy Meter: 99%

Best Original Score:

“BlacKkKlansman,” Terence Blanchard
“Black Panther,” Ludwig Goransson
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Nicholas Britell
“Isle of Dogs,” Alexandre Desplat
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman

Prediction: This is a tough one mainly because none of them really stand out. So I’m gong with my Marvel bias and go with Black Panther.

Accuracy Meter: 70%

Best Production Design:

“Black Panther,” Hannah Beachler
“First Man,” Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
“The Favourite,” Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
“Mary Poppins Returns,” John Myhre, Gordon Sim
“Roma,” Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enriquez

Prediction: It does come down to two films and that is The Favourite and Mary Poppins Returns. After much debate, and I’m hope I’m wrong cuz Mary Poppins Returns is deserving, but The Favourite is more original in their set pieces. Like I said, I hope I’m wrong.

Accuracy Meter: 80%

Best Sound Mixing:

“Black Panther”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“First Man”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”

Prediction: One of the reason why I loved First Man was their way they mixed their sounds that makes you feel you are actually in the spaceship with Neil Armstrong. I do believe that movie deserves that recognition at the very least.

Accuracy Meter: 80%

Best Sound Editing:

“Black Panther,” Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Warhurst
“First Man,” Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan
“A Quiet Place,” Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
“Roma,” Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay

Prediction: I believe everyone and their mother knows who will win this one. Bohemian Rhapsody’s sound editing whether they’re in the studio or at the Live Aid concert really brings out the famous songs from Queen, and making Rami Malek’s voice as Freddie Mercury really project very well for our listening pleasure.

Accuracy Meter: 99%

Best Film Editing:

“BlacKkKlansman,” Barry Alexander Brown
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Ottman
“Green Book,” Patrick J. Don Vito
“The Favourite,” Yorgos Mavropsaridis
“Vice,” Hank Corwin

Prediction: This one is a tough one as well, but the one that stands out to me is BlacKkKlansman. One of the reasons why I love this movie so much is because the editing really shows the different viewpoints of the different characters. Especially during the undercover operations. So I hope I’m right on this one.

Accuracy Meter: 60%

Best Foreign Language Film:

“Capernaum” (Lebanon)
“Cold War” (Poland)
“Never Look Away” (Germany)
“Roma” (Mexico)
“Shoplifters” (Japan)

Prediction: This one will be my easiest pick yet. I mean if the movie is nominated for Best Picture, then clearly it will win in this category. Roma it is.

Accuracy Meter: 100%

Best Live Action Short Film: 
“Detainment,” Vincent Lambe
“Fauve,” Jeremy Comte
“Marguerite,” Marianne Farley
“Mother,” Rodrigo Sorogoyen
“Skin,” Guy Nattiv

Prediction: And now to the categories where I don’t know jack squat about. Here I’m picking Skin, and I don’t know why.

Accuracy Meter: 20%

Best Documentary Short Subject:

“Black Sheep,” Ed Perkins
“End Game,” Rob Epstein, Jeffrey Friedman
“Lifeboat,” Skye Fitzgerald
“A Night at the Garden,” Marshall Curry
“Period. End of Sentence.,” Rayka Zehtabchi

Prediction: Once again, jack squat. Black Sheep sounds good to me.

Accuracy Meter: 20%

Best Documentary Feature:

“Free Solo,” Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi
“Hale County This Morning, This Evening,” RaMell Ross
“Minding the Gap,” Bing Liu
“Of Fathers and Sons,” Talal Derki
“RBG,” Betsy West, Julie Cohen

Small Rant: Why, “Won’t You Be My Neighbor,” is not on this?

Prediction: RBG, but then again I don’t know jack squat.

Accuracy Meter: 20%

Best Cinematography:

“Cold War,” Lukasz Zal
“The Favourite,” Robbie Ryan
“Never Look Away,” Caleb Deschanel
“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“A Star Is Born,” Matthew Libatique

Prediction: Making a nice clear picture in black and white is a great achievement. Kudos to Alfonso Cuaron in that regard in filming Roma.

Accuracy Meter: 90%

Best Original Screenplay:

“The Favourite,” Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
“First Reformed,” Paul Schrader
“Green Book,” Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“Vice,” Adam McKay

Prediction: I’m stuck between three and they are The Favourite, Roma, and Vice. I want to say Vice, but I have a feeling The Favourite might get this one.

Accuracy Meter: 75%

Best Adapted Screenplay:

“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Joel Coen , Ethan Coen
“BlacKkKlansman,” Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?,” Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Barry Jenkins
“A Star Is Born,” Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters

Prediction: One film really stands out, because to me it had the best dialogue in a film this year. That is BlacKkKlansman, and it will be great to see Spike Lee get up there on stage receiving an Oscar.

Accuracy Rating: 85%

Best Animated Short:

“Animal Behaviour,” Alison Snowden, David Fine
“Bao,” Domee Shi
“Late Afternoon,” Louise Bagnall
“One Small Step,” Andrew Chesworth, Bobby Pontillas
“Weekends,” Trevor Jimenez

Prediction: I only seen one of these animated shorts, and Bao is one of the weirdest Pixar shorts I’ve seen. With that said, the Pixar animated shorts almost never fails here.

Accuracy Meter: 40%

Best Animated Feature:

“Incredibles 2,” Brad Bird
“Isle of Dogs,” Wes Anderson
“Mirai,” Mamoru Hosoda
“Ralph Breaks the Internet,” Rich Moore, Phil Johnston
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,” Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman

Prediction: I think we all know what film is going to win in that category and be excited about, and that is Ralph Breaks the Internet. Just joking. It is going to be Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, and well deserved.

Accuracy Rating: 99%

Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams, “Vice”
Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”

Prediction: As both ladies in The Favourite continue to duke it out and really beating themselves in this one. Marina de Tavira is just happy to be there. I would love to see Amy Adams win, but this is not her year yet. This will go to Regina King, though I didn’t see much in her performance in If Beale Street Could Talk, but I think one reason why is because how genuine she has acted as a supportive mother doing anything for her daughter. That is why she will get it.

Accuracy Rating: 90%

Best Supporting Actor:

Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”
Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Sam Rockwell, “Vice”

Prediction: This is a strong category this year. Richard E. Grant, any other year, yes, but not this year. Sam Rockwell is getting greedy, and we know it. I’m glad Sam Elliot is getting his due with this year’s award shows, but he won’t get it. I would love to see Adam Driver get it in his brilliant role in BlacKkKlansman, but unfortunately one does stands out to me. I thought Mahershala Ali in his role in Green Book was awesome. I loved this role way better when he did won it for the same category for Moonlight. He raised his level in this with his piano playing skills and bringing out his acting with a lot more emotion. He will get it again.

Accuracy Meter: 95%

Best Actress:

Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”
Glenn Close, “The Wife”
Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”
Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”

Prediction: Yalitza Aparicio makes history to be the first indigenous person to be nominated, but she is happy to be there. Melissa McCarthy will win one soon, but not this year. I thought Glen Close’s role is overhyped for me. I still can’t shake the fact that Lady Gaga is nominated, but she is deserving. She will most likely win it in Best Original Song, but not this one. I’m going to have to give it Olivia Colman. I thought her role in The Favourite she should a lot of range where she is cool, calm, and collected and then the overbearing, loud, and demanding in the next moment as the Queen of England. In that regard I think she might get it, but it will be close.

Accuracy Meter: 80%

Best Actor:

Christian Bale, “Vice”
Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”

Prediction: This is also a strong category this year. Willem Defoe just have bad luck in doing great roles in the wrong year. Viggo Mortensen was fun to see, but nothing out of the ordinary. Christian Bale really seemed like he was Dick Cheney, but he will not be thanking Satan this time. I really thought when I saw A Star Is Born that Bradley Cooper was going to win it. I thought his role was amazing seeing him sing and play guitar with that gritty country voice. However, another amazing performance might be slightly better, and Rami Malek will get it. His performance as Freddie Mercury was amazing. His singing, dancing, and performing almost mirrors Mercury’s to a perfection. yes, I’m not a fan of the prosthetic over bite, but the music makes me willing to look past that. Queen fans will enjoy this moment.

Accuracy Rating: 95%

Best Director:

Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”
Adam McKay, “Vice”

Rant: Bradley Cooper deserved to be nominated and this is the biggest ball dropped by the Oscars this year. Him putting together the film A Star Is Born was great, and deserves his due at the very least. That is shame right there, and I don’t care hoe great Pawel Pawlikowski was, cuz I’m boycotting watching this film for Bradley Cooper.

Prediction: (Heavy breathing normalizing) Adam McKay needs to thank his make up people for him being there. Yorgos Lanthimos needs to thank his actresses for putting him in there. I’m glad Spike Lee is getting his due, but unfortunately he won’t win it as much as I love BlacKkKlansman. Alfonso Cuaron worked really hard in making the film Roma. I mean he did the Cinematography making a black and white film crisp and sharp, and the scenes where it last 2 to 3 minutes in one cut was not easy for him to pull off. This dream project of his is a work of art, and he will win this award again, and continue on the Mexican directors dominance of this decade.

Accuracy Rating: 95%

Best Picture:

“Black Panther”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“The Favourite”
“Green Book”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Vice”

Prediction: Have to say, this spread of films are a lot better than las year’s spread. All of these films are good in their own right and are deserving. As much I’m excited that Black Panther, the first comic book movie to be nominated in this category, and see Kevin Feige hold an Oscar, it will not happen. It is happy just to be nominated. For the past five years, I have been wrong on what will win Best Picture. So for this year, I’m going against my formula and I’m going to say that Roma will win it. This has been the year of foreign films, and films streamed on Netflix. Roma will change the game for better or for worse. My personal opinion is that BlacKkKlansman should get it, but from my research and thoughts, Roma will be supreme that night.

Accuracy Rating: 90%

Thanks for reading. Whether you agree or disagree. Feel free to comment, and would love to debate or discuss. Hope we can all enjoy the show!!!

 

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